What Can We Make Of China Silver Group Limited’s (HKG:815) High Return On Capital?

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Today we are going to look at China Silver Group Limited (HKG:815) to see whether it might be an attractive investment prospect. Specifically, we're going to calculate its Return On Capital Employed (ROCE), in the hopes of getting some insight into the business.

First, we'll go over how we calculate ROCE. Then we'll compare its ROCE to similar companies. Then we'll determine how its current liabilities are affecting its ROCE.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. In general, businesses with a higher ROCE are usually better quality. Overall, it is a valuable metric that has its flaws. Renowned investment researcher Michael Mauboussin has suggested that a high ROCE can indicate that 'one dollar invested in the company generates value of more than one dollar'.

How Do You Calculate Return On Capital Employed?

The formula for calculating the return on capital employed is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

Or for China Silver Group:

0.094 = CN¥328m ÷ (CN¥4.3b - CN¥763m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2019.)

So, China Silver Group has an ROCE of 9.4%.

Check out our latest analysis for China Silver Group

Is China Silver Group's ROCE Good?

ROCE can be useful when making comparisons, such as between similar companies. Using our data, we find that China Silver Group's ROCE is meaningfully better than the 7.8% average in the Metals and Mining industry. We consider this a positive sign, because it suggests it uses capital more efficiently than similar companies. Separate from how China Silver Group stacks up against its industry, its ROCE in absolute terms is mediocre; relative to the returns on government bonds. Readers may find more attractive investment prospects elsewhere.

We can see that, China Silver Group currently has an ROCE of 9.4% compared to its ROCE 3 years ago, which was 5.3%. This makes us wonder if the company is improving. You can see in the image below how China Silver Group's ROCE compares to its industry. Click to see more on past growth.

SEHK:815 Past Revenue and Net Income, January 16th 2020
SEHK:815 Past Revenue and Net Income, January 16th 2020

When considering this metric, keep in mind that it is backwards looking, and not necessarily predictive. ROCE can be misleading for companies in cyclical industries, with returns looking impressive during the boom times, but very weak during the busts. This is because ROCE only looks at one year, instead of considering returns across a whole cycle. Given the industry it operates in, China Silver Group could be considered cyclical. How cyclical is China Silver Group? You can see for yourself by looking at this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.