In This Article:
Shareholders appeared to be happy with Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:CHKP) solid earnings report last week. This reaction by the market reaction is understandable when looking at headline profits and we have found some further encouraging factors.
See our latest analysis for Check Point Software Technologies
Zooming In On Check Point Software Technologies' Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Over the twelve months to December 2024, Check Point Software Technologies recorded an accrual ratio of -0.14. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. In fact, it had free cash flow of US$1.0b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of US$845.7m. Check Point Software Technologies' year-on-year free cash flow was as flat as two-day-old fizzy drink.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Check Point Software Technologies' Profit Performance
Check Point Software Technologies' accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Check Point Software Technologies' earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And the EPS is up 25% annually, over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. While it's really important to consider how well a company's statutory earnings represent its true earnings power, it's also worth taking a look at what analysts are forecasting for the future. So feel free to check out our free graph representing analyst forecasts.