How New Century Resources Limited (ASX:NCZ) Can Impact Your Portfolio Volatility

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If you own shares in New Century Resources Limited (ASX:NCZ) then it's worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. The first category is company specific volatility. This can be dealt with by limiting your exposure to any particular stock. The other type, which cannot be diversified away, is the volatility of the entire market. Every stock in the market is exposed to this volatility, which is linked to the fact that stocks prices are correlated in an efficient market.

Some stocks mimic the volatility of the market quite closely, while others demonstrate muted, exagerrated or uncorrelated price movements. Some investors use beta as a measure of how much a certain stock is impacted by market risk (volatility). While we should keep in mind that Warren Buffett has cautioned that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk', beta is still a useful factor to consider. To make good use of it you must first know that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta below one is either less volatile than the market, or more volatile but not corellated with the overall market. In comparison a stock with a beta of over one tends to be move in a similar direction to the market in the long term, but with greater changes in price.

Check out our latest analysis for New Century Resources

What does NCZ's beta value mean to investors?

Looking at the last five years, New Century Resources has a beta of 1.71. The fact that this is well above 1 indicates that its share price movements have shown sensitivity to overall market volatility. Based on this history, investors should be aware that New Century Resources are likely to rise strongly in times of greed, but sell off in times of fear. Beta is worth considering, but it's also important to consider whether New Century Resources is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

ASX:NCZ Income Statement, May 28th 2019
ASX:NCZ Income Statement, May 28th 2019

Does NCZ's size influence the expected beta?

New Century Resources is a noticeably small company, with a market capitalisation of AU$357m. Most companies this size are not always actively traded. Relatively few investors can influence the price of a smaller company, compared to a large company. This could explain the high beta value, in this case.