Are Cedar Woods Properties Limited's (ASX:CWP) Mixed Financials The Reason For Its Gloomy Performance on The Stock Market?

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editorial-team@simplywallst.com (Simply Wall St)

Thu, Nov 21, 2024, 2:55 PM 4 min read

It is hard to get excited after looking at Cedar Woods Properties' (ASX:CWP) recent performance, when its stock has declined 4.6% over the past week. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. Specifically, we decided to study Cedar Woods Properties' ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Cedar Woods Properties

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cedar Woods Properties is:

8.8% = AU$40m ÷ AU$461m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every A$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of A$0.09.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Cedar Woods Properties' Earnings Growth And 8.8% ROE

On the face of it, Cedar Woods Properties' ROE is not much to talk about. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 6.0% which we definitely can't overlook. Still, Cedar Woods Properties has seen a flat net income growth over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the low to flat growth in earnings could also be the result of this.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the industry grew its earnings by 6.1% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth — ASX:CWP Past Earnings Growth November 21st 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for CWP? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Cedar Woods Properties Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Cedar Woods Properties has a high three-year median payout ratio of 61% (or a retention ratio of 39%), meaning that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This does go some way in explaining why there's been no growth in its earnings.

Moreover, Cedar Woods Properties has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 51%. Regardless, the future ROE for Cedar Woods Properties is predicted to rise to 13% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Cedar Woods Properties. Specifically, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a respectable rate of return. Investors may have benefitted, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings. As discussed earlier, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.