Car-buying frenzy continues, pushing new vehicle prices higher

As car buyers rush to get in front of tariffs — which are widely expected to boost sticker prices — the flood of demand has been pushing new vehicle prices ever higher, with the trend unlikely to stop any time soon, experts said.

In Cox Automotive's Auto Market Report published May 13, Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke said the trend of rising prices continues into May.

“May so far looks like a continuation of April, with urgency to buy diminishing, but the retail vehicle market and the U.S. economy both holding up relatively well," Smoke said.

Car salesman Allan Luu removes the window sticker from a 2025 Honda CRV while getting the new vehicle ready for his client at Tamaroff Honda in Southfield on Thursday, April 10, 2025.
Car salesman Allan Luu removes the window sticker from a 2025 Honda CRV while getting the new vehicle ready for his client at Tamaroff Honda in Southfield on Thursday, April 10, 2025.

The job market is "good enough so far," but hiring is slowing, Smoke said, noting that borrowing money to buy a car is getting more expensive. He said the number of low-interest rate deals has decreased by 7 percentage points year-over-year, with interest-free loans also declining.

Smoke's remarks come on the heels of a report from Cox Automotive’s Kelley Blue Book published May 12 showed the average transaction price for new vehicles in April surged 2.5% to $48,699 compared with March. Prices rose 1.1% compared with April 2024. Cox said it was the strongest April sales since 2021.

The buying frenzy meant automakers did not have to offer big discounts. Cox said new-vehicle sales incentives fell to about $3,262, or 6.7% of the average transaction price. That's down from 7% of the average transaction price in March. Cox said incentives were at the lowest point since the summer of 2024. Prior to April, the six-month average was 7.4% of average transaction price.

'Pricing landscape is varied'

On April 3, President Donald Trump put a 25% tariff — the tax an importer pays on a good when it crosses international borders — on all imported vehicles to encourage more U.S. manufacturing.

Trump was set to then enact 25% tariffs on all imported parts starting May 3. But on April 29, the administration modified the tariffs on foreign auto parts. In a complex formula, the executive orders Trump signed will now allow automakers to be reimbursed for some of those tariffs for the next two years to give them time to find domestically sourced parts.

Still, a Michigan economics group, calculating tariff impact, has estimated that the least-impacted vehicles will still face a $2,000 tariff-induced price hike and the most impacted will see a $15,000 impact.

Cox Executive Analyst Erin Keating explained that new car prices are rising on the heavy demand to get the goods before manufacturers' suggested retail prices go sky high to offset carmaker's tariffs costs.