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If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Vishay Precision Group (NYSE:VPG) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Vishay Precision Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.073 = US$30m ÷ (US$463m - US$55m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Vishay Precision Group has an ROCE of 7.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Electronic industry average of 10%.
View our latest analysis for Vishay Precision Group
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Vishay Precision Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Vishay Precision Group .
So How Is Vishay Precision Group's ROCE Trending?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Vishay Precision Group doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 7.3% from 13% five years ago. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
The Key Takeaway
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Vishay Precision Group have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 30% from where it was five years ago. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
One more thing to note, we've identified 1 warning sign with Vishay Precision Group and understanding this should be part of your investment process.