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California School Finance Authority -- Moody's places High Tech High, CA revenue bond rating under review for downgrade

Rating Action: Moody's places High Tech High, CA revenue bond rating under review for downgrade

Global Credit Research - 18 Aug 2020

New York, August 18, 2020 -- Moody's Investors Service has placed the Baa3 rating assigned to the California School Finance Authority's School Facility Revenue Refunding Bonds (HTH Learning Project) Series 2017A under review for possible downgrade, affecting $21.8 million in outstanding debt. The bonds were issued by the authority on behalf of HTH Learning, who serves as the borrower under a loan agreement with the authority. In turn, High Tech High serves as the lessee pursuant to lease agreements between HTH Learning as landlord of the school properties and High Tech High as tenant.

RATINGS RATIONALE / FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATING

Today's action is driven by weakening financial operations at the two schools whose revenue is pledged to the repayment of the Series 2017A bonds as well as declining enrollment at one of the schools. Combined net revenue of High Tech High Media Arts and High Tech High Chula Vista has declined for three consecutive years (through fiscal 2019) leading to materially weaker debt service coverage. Further, liquidity has also declined and days cash on hand is much weaker than similarly rated peers. Although enrollment is stable at High Tech High Media Arts, High Tech High Chula Vista enrollment has declined a total of 13% since fiscal 2016; academic performance at Chula Vista has also declined recently. Finally, governance is a key driver of this rating action. The school has recently had turnover in several key senior leadership positions.

We regard the coronavirus outbreak as a social risk under our ESG framework, given the substantial implications for public health and safety. The coronavirus crisis is not a key driver for this rating action. We do not see any material immediate credit risks for High Tech High given that the state has guaranteed funding for fiscal 2021 based on prior year's enrollment which protects against declines in enrollment from the transition to a distance learning model. Further, the school is expected to utilize a working capital line of credit to bridge cash flow issues caused by state aid deferrals. Nevertheless, the situation surrounding the coronavirus and the resulting economic challenges are rapidly evolving and the longer-term impact will depend on both the severity and duration of the crisis. A prolonged downturn could lead to protracted state funding challenges in fiscal 2022 and beyond. If our view of the credit quality of High Tech High changes, we will update the rating and/or outlook at that time.