When Should You Buy U10 Corp (EPA:ALU10)?

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U10 Corp (EPA:ALU10), which is in the consumer durables business, and is based in France, saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the ENXTPA over the last few months. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s take a look at U10’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for U10

Is U10 still cheap?

U10 is currently overpriced based on my relative valuation model. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 24.3x is currently well-above the industry average of 13.59x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that U10’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of U10 look like?

ENXTPA:ALU10 Past and Future Earnings, February 24th 2020
ENXTPA:ALU10 Past and Future Earnings, February 24th 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. U10’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 94%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? ALU10’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe ALU10 should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ALU10 for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for ALU10, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.