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Before You Buy Hoylu AB (publ) (STO:HOYLU), Consider Its Volatility

If you're interested in Hoylu AB (publ) (STO:HOYLU), then you might want to consider its beta (a measure of share price volatility) in order to understand how the stock could impact your portfolio. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first type is company specific volatility. Investors use diversification across uncorrelated stocks to reduce this kind of price volatility across the portfolio. The other type, which cannot be diversified away, is the volatility of the entire market. Every stock in the market is exposed to this volatility, which is linked to the fact that stocks prices are correlated in an efficient market.

Some stocks mimic the volatility of the market quite closely, while others demonstrate muted, exagerrated or uncorrelated price movements. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk' in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.

See our latest analysis for Hoylu

What we can learn from HOYLU's beta value

Given that it has a beta of 1.45, we can surmise that the Hoylu share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). If this beta value holds true in the future, Hoylu shares are likely to rise more than the market when the market is going up, but fall faster when the market is going down. Beta is worth considering, but it's also important to consider whether Hoylu is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

OM:HOYLU Income Statement, September 23rd 2019
OM:HOYLU Income Statement, September 23rd 2019

Does HOYLU's size influence the expected beta?

Hoylu is a rather small company. It has a market capitalisation of kr78m, which means it is probably under the radar of most investors. Relatively few investors can influence the price of a smaller company, compared to a large company. This could explain the high beta value, in this case.

What this means for you:

Since Hoylu tends to moves up when the market is going up, and down when it's going down, potential investors may wish to reflect on the overall market, when considering the stock. This article aims to educate investors about beta values, but it's well worth looking at important company-specific fundamentals such as Hoylu’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following: