Should You Buy Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited (HKG:1929) At $10.12?

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Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited (SEHK:1929) received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the SEHK over the last few months. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity. View our latest analysis for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group

Is Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group still cheap?

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group is currently overpriced based on my relative valuation model. I’ve used the price-to-equity ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 28.01x is currently well-above the industry average of 13.47x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group?

SEHK:1929 Future Profit Apr 25th 18
SEHK:1929 Future Profit Apr 25th 18

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 39.15% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group. It looks like higher cash flows is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in 1929’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe 1929 should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.