When Should You Buy Cedar Woods Properties Limited (ASX:CWP)?

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While Cedar Woods Properties Limited (ASX:CWP) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the ASX. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Cedar Woods Properties’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Cedar Woods Properties

What's The Opportunity In Cedar Woods Properties?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 12.41x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 13.6x, which means if you buy Cedar Woods Properties today, you’d be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe Cedar Woods Properties should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Cedar Woods Properties’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Cedar Woods Properties generate?

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ASX:CWP Earnings and Revenue Growth May 20th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Cedar Woods Properties' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 36%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in CWP’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at CWP? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?