BMI Surges 40% in the Past Year: What Lies Ahead for the Stock?

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Badger Meter BMI stock has gained 39.5% in the past year outpacing the S&P 500 composite and the sub-industry’s 26.4% and 0.5% growth, respectively. It has also outperformed the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s growth of 34.2%.

Price Performance

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The stock was down 2.1% on Friday and closed trading at $215.45, down 10% from its 52-week high of $239.11.

Does this pullback indicate a buying opportunity? Let us dive into BMI’s prospects and determine your portfolio's best course of action.

Will BMI Sustain Momentum in 2025?

Demand for digital smart water solutions has been increasing attributed to secular challenges in the water industry. This has been driving strong adoption of BMI’s differentiated smart water solutions, including higher uptake of meters (both mechanical and E-Series Ultrasonic), ORION Cellular endpoints and associated BEACON Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) revenues.

Various favorable macroeconomic drivers for the water industry growth, along with a strong opportunity funnel, bid pipeline, order book rates and increasing SaaS revenues, bode well for the long term.

Badger Meter is continuously prioritizing and enhancing its presence in selected regional markets outside the United States that offer healthy growth potential. The company is likely to benefit by expanding its market share in water-related applications.

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In May 2024, the company introduced the BlueEdge framework to streamline its comprehensive suite of scalable water solutions. In the third quarter, utility water sales rose 14% due to continued robust adoption across the BlueEdge suite of solutions by utility customers. Blue Edge can be customized to address applications for the entire water cycle and will also serve as a “strategic lens” for the company to assess growth investments.

However, management noted that hurricane recovery activity might delay some Southeast U.S. utility projects in the near term.  This introduces an element of uncertainty for BMI. Although BMI added that it is too early to quantify the impact, this unpredictability may raise concerns about the company’s ability to deliver steady growth in the short term.

BMI expects fewer customer operating days in the fourth quarter due to the holiday season, which could lead to reduced sales growth. Moreover, due to tougher year-over-year comparison as well as strong but normalizing demand trends, BMI noted that it now expects to deliver high single-digit sales growth rates going ahead.