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BlueLinx Holdings Inc. (NYSE:BXC) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 3.5% to hit US$726m. BlueLinx Holdings also reported a statutory profit of US$2.00, which was an impressive 61% above what the analysts had forecast. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for BlueLinx Holdings
Taking into account the latest results, BlueLinx Holdings' four analysts currently expect revenues in 2024 to be US$3.06b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 24% to US$6.91. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$3.07b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$7.90 in 2024. The analysts seem to have become more bearish following the latest results. While there were no changes to revenue forecasts, there was a substantial drop in EPS estimates.
It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at US$124, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on BlueLinx Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$135 and the most bearish at US$100.00 per share. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the BlueLinx Holdings' past performance and to peers in the same industry. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 0.4% annualised decline to the end of 2024. That is a notable change from historical growth of 6.4% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 5.7% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that BlueLinx Holdings' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.