Is BigBear.ai Stock the Next NVIDIA and a Buy?

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With the arrival of artificial intelligence (AI), NVIDIA Corporation NVDA experienced rapid business growth. Its shares have soared 85.8% in the past year. However, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. BBAI recently became a Wall Street darling, with its shares surging a whopping 332.5% over the past year.

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Zacks Investment Research

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BigBear.ai stock has more than doubled this year, now trading over $9 from $4 at the beginning of the year. Does this mean the company that offers AI-powered decision-intelligence solutions is a promising investment in the AI industry? Let’s find out –

3 Reasons to be Bullish on BBAI Stock

BigBear.ai recently secured a contract with the Department of Defense for its Virtual Anticipation Network (“VANE”), leading to a rally in its shares. VANE will utilize machine learning and AI to predict and proactively address adversarial actions in complex settings, according to BigBear.ai.

The government contract opens up more business opportunities for BigBear.ai in the long run. With the government poised to spend more on defense, BigBear.ai has immense growth potential.  BigBear.ai was also awarded a Navy contract last month, opening doors for growth in other federal agencies.

The change in CEO, in the meantime, has been a boon for BigBear.ai. Mandy Long has been replaced by Kevin McAleenan, who has increased access to the Trump administration and extensive experience with government agencies, helping BigBear.ai secure more government contracts.

An outcome from a recent summit in Paris, meanwhile, provided BigBear.ai with a bullish momentum. Proceedings from the event showed that European leaders are inclined toward relaxing AI regulatory standards, benefiting BigBear.ai’s EU presence.

Should I Invest in BBAI Stock Now? Could it be the next NVIDIA?

BigBear.ai winning new contracts vis-à-vis share price gains may tempt retail investors to buy the stock. However, BigBear.ai’s financials don’t justify such rapid growth in its stock price.

BigBear.ai’s revenues for the first nine months of 2024 were unchanged from the same period a year ago, while the company had to bear operating losses in the past three quarters and bore a hefty goodwill impairment charge. The business is far from breaking even, making the BBAI stock susceptible to corrections soon.

BigBear.ai, anyhow, has a bad reputation for going through a boom-and-bust cycle. For instance, in 2023, a broader AI boom led by the success of ChatGPT helped the BBAI stock rally. However, the company couldn’t sustain its revenue growth, and the BBAI stock fell in 2024. Rapid growth also leads to profit bookings, which adds to price declines.