Big Tech prepares its next AI pitch

Artificial intelligence is expected to once again take center stage as the nation's largest technology companies begin reporting quarterly results on Tuesday.

Three months ago, Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta (META), and others battled for AI mentions and saw stocks pop on promises for future earnings. This quarter, investors will be more keen on hearing about the timing by which those promises can be delivered. 

"Everybody can talk the marketing spin, but I need to see some tangible impacts on the P&L," Paul Meeks, Independent Solutions Wealth Management portfolio manager, told Yahoo Finance Live. "You better give that to me. At least guide to it for the next couple of quarters because I'm going to start to believe that it's all smoke."

Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta are all expected to report earnings this week and provide updates on their plans for AI after buzz over the technology sent their stocks soaring through the first half of 2023.

ChatGPT sparked the AI conversation with its launch last November, and Microsoft and Alphabet quickly advanced the conversation with their plans for how the technology could reinvent search. Then, when the companies reported first quarter earnings in the spring, AI exuberance fully took hold.

Microsoft mentioned AI more than 50 times on its earnings call. Google called it out more than 100 times at an event in May. Even Coca-Cola said it was "exploring ways to leverage AI."

Nvidia's AI callout proved to be the most monumental. The chipmaker noted the technology could boost the next quarter's earnings by roughly 50% more than initially anticipated.

That sent tech stocks soaring higher, and AI became a common refrain in research notes as strategists boosted their full-year outlooks for the S&P 500.

"We think investors' enthusiasm about AI has room to grow even further over the next couple of years," Capital Economics senior markets economist Thomas Mathews wrote in June.

Google, Microsoft and Alphabet logos and AI Artificial Intelligence words are seen in this illustration taken, May 4, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
Google, Microsoft, and Alphabet logos and the words artificial intelligence on a screen. (REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration) · Dado Ruvic / reuters

A recent check of AI hype shows Mathews's take is still on point. Last week, a Bloomberg report about Apple working on its own form of ChatGPT sent the stock up about 1%. A day before, Microsoft shares rose about 4% as the company announced pricing for its M365 Copilot AI product. Both stocks finished at all-time highs on the day the developments broke.

In a Microsoft earnings preview that included a price target boost to $400 from $350 due to the tech giant's latest AI innovation, Goldman Sachs managing director Kash Rangan wrote how much companies attribute growth to AI will be in focus.