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Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.'s (NYSE:BWMX) solid earnings announcement recently didn't do much to the stock price. Our analysis suggests that shareholders might be missing some positive underlying factors in the earnings report.
See our latest analysis for Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de
Zooming In On Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
For the year to September 2024, Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de had an accrual ratio of -0.15. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of Mex$1.8b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of Mex$885.4m. Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's profit was reduced by unusual items worth Mex$435m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.