Benton & Linn Cntys S.D. 509J (Corvallis), OR -- Moody's assigns Aa2 to Corvallis School District 509J (Benton & Linn Counties), OR's GO Bonds Series 2020

Rating Action: Moody's assigns Aa2 to Corvallis School District 509J (Benton & Linn Counties), OR's GO Bonds Series 2020

Global Credit Research - 02 Dec 2020

New York, December 02, 2020 -- Moody's Investors Service has assigned a Aa2 rating to Benton & Linn Counties School District 509J (Corvallis), Oregon's General Obligation Bonds, Series 2020 in the expected par amount of $39.92 million. We have also assigned a Aa1 enhanced rating based on the assumption that the bonds will qualify and be backed by the Oregon School Bond Guaranty Program. Moody's maintains Aa2 ratings on the district's outstanding rated general obligation unlimited tax (GOULT) bonds in the amount of $159.5 million.

RATINGS RATIONALE

The Aa2 GOULT rating reflects a large and growing tax base anchored by the institutional presence of Oregon State University as well as solid resident socioeconomic measures. The rating also considers the district's financial performance, which is considered satisfactory despite tax base compression which led to lower than expected local option revenue in fiscal 2020. Still, reserves are adequate, however further revenue weakening from a combination of flat enrollment and compression loss are future credit stress. The rating further reflects the manageable overall leverage, including debt, pension and other post-employment benefit (OPEB), though the current debt burden is above average relative to peers. We view the coronavirus pandemic as a social risk considering the impact on health and safety; the district is proceeding with comprehensive distance learning and a transition to a hybrid model in calendar year 2021, based on state guidance. We expect that the district will continue to manage revenue to expenses, supported by one-time CARES funding. We do not expect material long-term financial loss related to the pandemic.

The Aa1 enhanced rating reflects the State of Oregon's (Aa1 stable) full faith, credit and taxing power which is pledged to guarantee qualified school districts' bond debt service when due. Key aspects of the program include third party notification of any unpaid debt service and favorable state oversight.

RATING OUTLOOK

Outlooks are not typically assigned to local governments with this amount of debt outstanding.

FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OF THE RATINGS

- Sustained growth in reserves and liquidity in line with higher rated peers

- Significant growth in tax base and improvement of socioeconomic measures

FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO A DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS