Last week, the Nasdaq Composite, the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.8%, 0.9% and 1% respectively. For the three major benchmark indexes, this was a sixth straight week of gains.
Throughout the week, the pressure on oil prices due to the conflict in the Middle East and concerns over fuel demand in China kept market participants nervous. Jobless claims were relatively high, and retail sales also increased, suggesting that consumers were back to buying staples and discretionaries with the approaching holiday season. Comments from Mary Daly, a major Fed official, also indicated that there would be further rate cuts in the year.
As of today, per CME’s FedWatch Tool, a whopping 90.9% of survey participants expect a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s November meeting.
Regardless of market conditions, we, here at Zacks, provide investors with unbiased guidance on how to beat the market.
As usual, Zacks Research guided investors over the past three months with its time-tested methodologies. Given the prevailing market uncertainty, you may want to look at our feats to prepare better for your next action.
Here are some of our key achievements:
JD.com and Banco Comercial Português Surge Following Zacks Rank Upgrade
Shares of JD.com, Inc. JD have surged 48% (versus the S&P 500’s 4.2% increase) since it was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) on August 22.
Another stock, Banco Comercial Português, S.A. BPCGY, was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) on August 21 and has returned 17.3% (versus the S&P 500’s 4.6% increase) since then.
Zacks Rank, our short-term rating system, has earnings estimate revisions at its core. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.
A hypothetical portfolio of Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks returned +20.63% in the year-to-date period through April 1st, 2024, vs. +11.3% for the S&P 500 index and +7.7% for the equal-weight S&P 500 index. This hypothetical portfolio returned +20.63% in 2023 vs. +24.83% for the S&P 500 index and +15% for the equal-weight S&P 500 index. The portfolio of Zacks Rank #1 stocks is an equal-weight portfolio, while the S&P 500 index is a market-cap-weighted index that has been notably distorted by the concentrated performance of mega-cap stocks since October 2022.
The Zacks Model Portfolio - consisting of Zacks Rank #1 stocks – has outperformed the S&P index by more than 16 percentage points since 1988 (Through April 1st, 2024, the Zacks # 1 Rank stocks generated an annualized return of +27.6% since 1988 vs. +11.1% for the S&P 500 index).You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks Rank #1 stocks here >>>
Check JD.com’s historical EPS and Sales here>>>
Check Banco Comercial’s historical EPS and Sales here>>>
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Zacks Recommendation Upgrades Sezzle and Idaho Strategic Higher
Shares of Sezzle Inc. SEZL and Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. IDR have advanced 76.2% (versus the S&P 500’s 3.9% rise) and 52% (versus the S&P 500’s 4.2% rise) since their Zacks Recommendation was upgraded to Outperform on August 26 and August 27, respectively.
While the Zacks Rank is our short-term rating system that is most effective over the one- to three-month holding horizon, the Zacks Recommendation aims to predict performance over the next 6 to 12 months. However, just like the Zacks Rank, the foundation for the Zacks Recommendation is trends in earnings estimate revisions.
The Zacks Recommendation classifies stocks into three groups — Outperform, Neutral and Underperform. While these recommendations are determined quantitatively, our analysts have the flexibility to override them for the 1100+ stocks they closely follow based on their better judgment of factors such as valuation, industry conditions and management effectiveness than the quantitative model.
To access our research reports with Zacks Recommendations for the 1100+ stocks we cover, click here>>>
Zacks Focus List Stocks Sea Limited, Axon Shoot Up
Shares of Sea Limited SE, which belongs to the Zacks Focus List, have gained 51.4% over the past 12 weeks. The stock was added to the Focus List on March 26,2020. Another Focus-List holding, Axon Enterprise, Inc. AXON, which was added to the portfolio on June 3, 2020, has returned 41% over the past 12 weeks. The S&P 500 has advanced 5.3% over this period.
The Focus List portfolio returned +10.23% in 2024 Q1 vs. +10.56% for the S&P 500 index and +7.9% for the equal-weight S&P 500 index.
The 50-stock Zacks Focus List model portfolio returned +31.44% in 2023 vs. +26.28% for the S&P 500 index and +13.61% for the equal-weight S&P 500 index. In 2022, the portfolio produced -15.2% vs. the S&P 500 index’s -17.96%.
Since 2004, the Focus List portfolio has produced an annualized return of +11.91% (through March 31st, 2024). This compares to a +10.25% annualized return for the S&P 500 index in the same time period.
Unlock all of our powerful research, tools and analysis, including the Focus List, Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research Reports, Zacks Earnings ESP Filter, Premium Screener and more, as part of Zacks Premium. Gain full access now >>
Zacks ECAP Stocks Fiserv and Clorox Make Significant Gains
Fiserv, Inc. FI, a component of our Earnings Certain Admiral Portfolio (ECAP), has jumped 23.4% over the past 12 weeks. The Clorox Company CLX has followed Fiserv with 20.3% returns.
The Zacks Earnings Certain Admiral Portfolio (ECAP), which consists of 30 concentrated, ultra-defensive, long-term Buy-and-Hold stocks, returned +9.08% in the year-to-date period (through March 31st, 2024) vs. +10.42%. In 2023, the portfolio returned +12.17% vs. +26.28% for the S&P 500 index. The portfolio returned -4.7% in 2022 vs. the S&P 500 index’s -17.96%.
With little to no turnover and annual rebalance periodicity, the ECAP seeks to minimize capital loss by holding shares of companies whose earnings streams exhibit a proven 20+ year track record of surviving recessionary periods with minimal impact on aggregate earnings growth relative to the overall S&P 500.
The ECAP and many other model portfolios are available as part of Zacks Advisor Tools, a cloud-based solution to access Zacks award-winning stock, mutual fund and ETF research. Click here to schedule a demo.
Zacks ECDP Stocks McDonald's and Automatic Data Processing Outshine Peers
McDonald's Corporation MCD, which is part of our Earnings Certain Dividend Portfolio (ECDP), has returned 25.6% over the past 12 weeks. Another ECDP stock, Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ADP, has climbed 15.7% over the same time frame. Of course, the inclination of investors toward quality dividend stocks to secure an income stream amid heightened market volatility contributed to this performance.
Check McDonald’s dividend history here>>>
Check Automatic Data’s dividend history here>>>
With an extremely low Beta and a history of minimum earnings variability over the last 20+ years, this 25-stock portfolio helps significantly mitigate risk.
The Zacks Earnings Certain Dividend Portfolio (ECDP) returned +4.47% in the year-to-date period (through March 31st, 2024) vs. +10.42% for the S&P 500 index (IVV) and +6.9% for the Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL).
The portfolio returned -0.9% in 2023 vs. +26.28% for the S&P 500 index and +8.11% for NOBL. The portfolio returned -2.3% in 2022 vs. -17.96% for the S&P 500 index and -8.34% for NOBL.
Click here to access this portfolio on Zacks Advisor Tools.
Zacks Top 10 Stocks — Freshpet Delivers Solid Returns
Freshpet, Inc. FRPT, from the Zacks Top 10 Stocks for 2024, has jumped 60.8% year to date compared with a 23% increase for the S&P 500 Index.
The Top 10 portfolio returned +19.56% in 2024 Q1 vs. +10.56% for the S&P 500 index and +7.9% for the equal-weight version of the index.
The Top 10 portfolio returned +25.15% in 2023 vs. +26.28% for the S&P 500 index. Since 2012, the Top 10 portfolio has produced a cumulative return of +1,060.9% through the end of 2023 vs. +360.1% for the S&P 500 index.
Since 2012, the Zacks Top 10 portfolio has produced an annualized return of +25.02% through the end of 2024 Q1 vs. +14.1% for the S&P 500 index and +12.7% for the equal-weight version of the index. The portfolio has produced a cumulative return of +1,442.3% vs. +403.03% for the S&P 500 index and +331.29% for the equal-weight index.
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