The three most widely followed benchmark indexes closed last week with losses. The Nasdaq Composite, the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 3.2%, 2.1% and 1.2%, respectively.
The expectation and resultant euphoria of an incoming Trump administration that had dominated trade the week prior took a backseat. The focus shifted from the Trump landslide to rate cut worries and potential inflation risks under the next administration. Statements coming in from Fed officials, including Fed chair Jerome Powell, has led to the general notion that interest rate cuts might slow down in the near future. Retail Sales numbers came in robust though.
Currently, one can observe an appreciable spike in the CME FedWatch Tool’s survey of people expecting interest rates to remain static after the central bank’s December meeting.
Regardless of market conditions, we, here at Zacks, provide investors with unbiased guidance on how to beat the market.
As usual, Zacks Research guided investors over the past three months with its time-tested methodologies. Given the prevailing market uncertainty, you may want to look at our feats to prepare better for your next action.
Here are some of our key achievements:
Tuya and Berkshire Hills Surge Following Zacks Rank Upgrade
Shares of Tuya Inc. TUYA have gained 22% (versus the S&P 500’s 5.6% increase) since it was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) on September 12.
Another stock, Berkshire Hills Bancorp, Inc. BHLB, which was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) on September 20, has returned 9.7% (versus the S&P 500’s 2.5% increase) since then.
Zacks Rank, our short-term rating system, has earnings estimate revisions at its core. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.
A hypothetical portfolio of Zacks Rank # 1 (Strong Buy) stocks returned +14% in the year-to-date period through October 7th, 2024, vs. +22.2% for the S&P 500 index and +12.4% for the equal-weight version of the S&P 500 index.
This hypothetical portfolio returned +20.63% in 2023 vs. +24.83% for the S&P 500 index and +15% for the equal-weight S&P 500 index.
The portfolio of Zacks Rank #1 stocks is an equal-weight portfolio, while the S&P 500 index is a market-cap-weighted index that has been notably distorted by the concentrated performance of mega-cap stocks since late 2022.
The Zacks Model Portfolio - consisting of Zacks Rank #1 stocks – has outperformed the S&P index by almost 13 percentage points since 1988 (Through October 7th, 2024, the Zacks # 1 Rank stocks generated an annualized average return of +24.1% since 1988 vs. +11.2% for the S&P 500 index).
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks Rank #1 stocks here >>>
Check Tuya’s historical EPS and Sales here>>>
Check Berkshire Hills’ historical EPS and Sales here>>>
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Zacks Recommendation Upgrades Carnival and Northeast Community Bank
Shares of Carnival Corporation & plc CCL and Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc. NECB have advanced 28% and 22.7% (versus the S&P 500’s 2.7% rise), respectively, since their Zacks Recommendation was upgraded to Outperform on September 23.
While the Zacks Rank is our short-term rating system that is most effective over the one- to three-month holding horizon, the Zacks Recommendation aims to predict performance over the next 6 to 12 months. However, just like the Zacks Rank, the foundation for the Zacks Recommendation is trends in earnings estimate revisions.
The Zacks Recommendation classifies stocks into three groups — Outperform, Neutral and Underperform. While these recommendations are determined quantitatively, our analysts have the flexibility to override them for the 1100+ stocks they closely follow based on their better judgment of factors such as valuation, industry conditions and management effectiveness than the quantitative model.
To access our research reports with Zacks Recommendations for the 1100+ stocks we cover, click here>>>
Zacks Focus List Stocks Shopify, Block Shoot Up
Shares of Shopify Inc. SHOP, which belongs to the Zacks Focus List, have gained 45.5% over the past 12 weeks. The stock was added to the Focus List on September 6, 2022. Another Focus-List holding, Block, Inc. SQ, which was added to the portfolio on March 28, 2017, has returned 28% over the past 12 weeks. The S&P 500 has advanced 5.6% over this period.
The Focus List portfolio returned +16.18% in 2024 (through October 31st) vs. +20.99% for the S&P 500 index and +13.29% for the equal-weight S&P 500 index.
The 50-stock Zacks Focus List model portfolio returned +31.44% in 2023 vs. +26.28% for the S&P 500 index and +13.61% for the equal-weight S&P 500 index. In 2022, the portfolio produced -15.2% vs. the S&P 500 index’s -17.96%.
Since 2004, the Focus List portfolio has produced an annualized return of +11.69% (through October 31st, 2024). This compares to a +10.29% annualized return for the S&P 500 index and +10.12% for the equal-weight version of the index in the same time period.
Unlock all of our powerful research, tools and analysis, including the Focus List, Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research Reports, Zacks Earnings ESP Filter, Premium Screener and more, as part of Zacks Premium. Gain full access now >>
Zacks ECAP Stocks Fiserv & FactSet Make Significant Gains
Fiserv, Inc. FI, a component of our Earnings Certain Admiral Portfolio (ECAP), has jumped 26.1% over the past 12 weeks. FactSet Research Systems Inc. FDS has followed Fiserv with 17.8% returns.
The Zacks Earnings Certain Admiral Portfolio (ECAP), which consists of 30 concentrated, ultra-defensive, long-term Buy-and-Hold stocks, returned +1.97% for September 2024 vs. the S&P 500 index’s +2.14% return (IVV ETF).
For the year-to-date period (through the end of September 2024), the portfolio returned +20.62% vs. +22.1% for the S&P 500 index.
In 2023, the portfolio returned +12.17% vs. +26.28% for the S&P 500 index. The portfolio returned -4.7% in 2022 vs. the S&P 500 index’s -17.96%.
With little to no turnover and annual rebalance periodicity, ECAP seeks to minimize capital loss by holding shares of companies whose earnings streams exhibit a proven 20+ year track record of surviving recessionary periods with minimal impact on aggregate earnings growth relative to the overall S&P 500.
The ECAP and many other model portfolios are available as part of Zacks Advisor Tools, a cloud-based solution to access Zacks award-winning stock, mutual fund and ETF research. Click here to schedule a demo.
Zacks ECDP Stocks Automatic Data Processing and Illinois Tool Works Outperform Peers
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ADP, which is part of our Earnings Certain Dividend Portfolio (ECDP), has returned 12.7% over the past 12 weeks. Another ECDP stock, Illinois Tool Works Inc. ITW, has also climbed 11.9% over the same time frame. Of course, the inclination of investors toward quality dividend stocks to secure an income stream amid heightened market volatility contributed to this performance.
Check Automatic Data Processing's dividend history here>>>
Check Illinois Tool Works’ dividend history here>>>
With an extremely low beta and a history of minimum earnings variability over the last 20+ years, this 25-stock portfolio helps significantly mitigate risk.
The Zacks Earnings Certain Dividend Portfolio (ECDP) returned +1.91% in September 2024 vs. the S&P 500 index’s +2.14% gain and the Dividend Aristocrats ETF’s (NOBL) +2.37%.
For the year-to-date period (through September 30th), the portfolio returned +15.85% vs. +22.1% for the S&P 500 index and +13.78% for NOBL.
The portfolio returned -0.9% in 2023 vs. +26.28% for the S&P 500 index and +8.11% for NOBL. The portfolio returned -2.3% in 2022 vs. -17.96% for the S&P 500 index and -8.34% for NOBL.
Click here to access this portfolio on Zacks Advisor Tools.
Zacks Top 10 Stocks Freshpet Delivers Solid Returns
Freshpet, Inc. FRPT, from the Zacks Top 10 Stocks for 2024, has jumped 72.9% year to date compared to the S&P 500 Index’s +23.3% increase.
The Top 10 portfolio returned +43.45% this year through October 31st, vs. +20.99% for the S&P 500 index and +13.29% for the equal-weight version of the index.
The Top 10 portfolio returned +25.15% in 2023 vs. +26.28% for the S&P 500 index.
Since 2012, the Top 10 portfolio has produced a cumulative return of +1,746.65% through October 31st, 2024, vs. +450.50% for the S&P 500 index. The portfolio has produced an average return of +25.5% in the period 2012 through October 31st, 2024, vs. +14.22% for the S&P 500 index and +12.49% for the equal-weight version of the index.
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