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The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. But Australian Unity Office Fund (ASX:AOF) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 16% over five years, which is below the market return. However, if you include the dividends then the return is market beating. The last year hasn't been great either, with the stock up just 3.9%.
Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.
Check out our latest analysis for Australian Unity Office Fund
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During five years of share price growth, Australian Unity Office Fund actually saw its EPS drop 27% per year.
The strong decline in earnings per share suggests the market isn't using EPS to judge the company. The falling EPS doesn't correlate with the climbing share price, so it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
We note that the dividend is higher than it was previously - always nice to see. It could be that the company is reaching maturity and dividend investors are buying for the yield. The revenue growth of about 5.2% per year might also encourage buyers.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. You can see what analysts are predicting for Australian Unity Office Fund in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Australian Unity Office Fund the TSR over the last 5 years was 60%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!