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Investors were disappointed by Auckland International Airport Limited's (NZSE:AIA ) latest earnings release. Our analysis has found some reasons to be concerned, beyond the weak headline numbers.
Check out our latest analysis for Auckland International Airport
In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. Auckland International Airport expanded the number of shares on issue by 14% over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of Auckland International Airport's EPS by clicking here.
A Look At The Impact Of Auckland International Airport's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Unfortunately, Auckland International Airport's profit is down 86% per year over three years. Even looking at the last year, profit was still down 53%. Sadly, earnings per share fell further, down a full 54% in that time. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.
If Auckland International Airport's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that Auckland International Airport's profit was boosted by unusual items worth NZ$39m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Auckland International Airport doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
Our Take On Auckland International Airport's Profit Performance
In its last report Auckland International Airport benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Auckland International Airport's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Auckland International Airport, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.