Athabasca Oil's (TSE:ATH) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

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The market for Athabasca Oil Corporation's (TSE:ATH) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

Check out our latest analysis for Athabasca Oil

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TSX:ATH Earnings and Revenue History November 8th 2024

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

For anyone who wants to understand Athabasca Oil's profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit was reduced by CA$40m due to unusual items. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Athabasca Oil doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Athabasca Oil's Profit Performance

Unusual items (expenses) detracted from Athabasca Oil's earnings over the last year, but we might see an improvement next year. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Athabasca Oil's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Better yet, its EPS are growing strongly, which is nice to see. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Athabasca Oil, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Athabasca Oil.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Athabasca Oil's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.