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While ARYZTA AG (VTX:ARYN) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the SWX, rising to highs of CHF1.75 and falling to the lows of CHF1.52. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether ARYZTA's current trading price of CHF1.56 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at ARYZTA’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Check out our latest analysis for ARYZTA
What Is ARYZTA Worth?
ARYZTA is currently expensive based on our price multiple model, where we look at the company's price-to-earnings ratio in comparison to the industry average. In this instance, we’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. We find that ARYZTA’s ratio of 25.69x is above its peer average of 19.79x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Food industry. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since ARYZTA’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
Can we expect growth from ARYZTA?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 71% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for ARYZTA. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in ARYN’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe ARYN should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.