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The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Artemis Gold Inc. (CVE:ARTG), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. There was a fairly draconian cut to their revenue estimates, perhaps an implicit admission that previous forecasts were much too optimistic.
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After this downgrade, Artemis Gold's five analysts are now forecasting revenues of CA$710m in 2025. This would be a major improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Before the latest update, the analysts were foreseeing CA$791m of revenue in 2025. It looks like forecasts have become a fair bit less optimistic on Artemis Gold, given the substantial drop in revenue estimates.
Check out our latest analysis for Artemis Gold
There was no particular change to the consensus price target of US$18.89, with Artemis Gold's latest outlook seemingly not enough to result in a change of valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Artemis Gold, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$24.64 and the most bearish at US$15.71 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Artemis Gold's growth to accelerate, with the forecast exponential annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 109% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 14% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Artemis Gold to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The clear low-light was that analysts slashing their revenue forecasts for Artemis Gold this year. Analysts also expect revenues to grow faster than the wider market. Often, one downgrade can set off a daisy-chain of cuts, especially if an industry is in decline. So we wouldn't be surprised if the market became a lot more cautious on Artemis Gold after today.