In This Article:
Tesla (TSLA) and Apple (AAPL) have at least one thing in common – and it’s a big factor leading one analyst to project a price target of $4,000 for the electric vehicle manufacturer.
It comes down to the chips, ARK Invest CEO and CIO Cathie Wood said in an interview with Yahoo Finance on Friday. Tesla CEO Elon Musk confirmed in August that the company would be making its own computer chips for automated driving, pivoting away from hardware produced by chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA).
“Our conviction has increased as we understand more about its new artificial intelligent chip design,” Wood, who is one of the foremost Tesla bulls, said on Yahoo Finance’s Final Round. Two of ARK Invest fund’s have Tesla’s stock as its top holding.
“This is a replay of Apple,” she added. “Apple was moving so fast with the smartphone that it had to design its own chip to move that fast. This is what has happened to Tesla.”
‘Faster, better, cheaper, sooner’
Apple designs its own chips for use in products such as the iPhone and the Apple Watch and reportedly plans to oust Intel as its chip processor for Macs as soon as 2020.
Wood noted that Nvidia chips will be in “mostly every other” autonomous vehicle to hit the market. But Musk “has a vision for this market that needs faster, better, cheaper, sooner – and so he designed it himself,” she said.
Tesla’s aggressive move toward hardware improvement and independence is one of the key factors informing Wood’s bullish outlook on Tesla. Wood said she believes Tesla is three years ahead of any other automobile manufacturer in terms of creating an artificial intelligence chip and could be as many as five years ahead of competitors in terms of creating a cost-efficient battery. Tesla has also made strides toward collecting data from its customers through continuous software updates, which provide information about how roads are set up to help prepare the company for autonomous driving.
In Wood’s bull scenario, Tesla shares could be priced at $4,000 each in five years. This would represent a 1,445% premium over the price of the stock as of market close Friday. Wood’s bear case forecasts a price target of $700 over five years. Shares of Tesla are down more than 19% in 2018.
Apple or … Lehman Brothers?
Wood’s lofty price target for the electric car vehicle manufacturer has been questioned by other prominent investors, including hedge fund manager David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital.
In a letter to investors earlier in October, Einhorn said the troubles at Musk’s company were akin to Lehman Brothers before the bank failed.