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While Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$9.99 and falling to the lows of US$7.23. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Arcos Dorados Holdings' current trading price of US$7.32 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Arcos Dorados Holdings’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Check out our latest analysis for Arcos Dorados Holdings
What's The Opportunity In Arcos Dorados Holdings?
The stock is currently trading at US$7.32 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 24% compared to our intrinsic value of $5.91. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that Arcos Dorados Holdings’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Can we expect growth from Arcos Dorados Holdings?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Arcos Dorados Holdings' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 50%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? ARCO’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe ARCO should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ARCO for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for ARCO, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.