In This Article:
Want to participate in a short research study? Help shape the future of investing tools and you could win a $250 gift card!
Generally speaking, investors are inspired to be stock pickers by the potential to find the big winners. But when you hold the right stock for the right time period, the rewards can be truly huge. One such superstar is Po Valley Energy Limited (ASX:PVE), which saw its share price soar 370% in three years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 21% gain in the last three months.
View our latest analysis for Po Valley Energy
With just €161,563 worth of revenue in twelve months, we don't think the market considers Po Valley Energy to have proven its business plan. So it seems shareholders are too busy dreaming about the progress to come than dwelling on the current (lack of) revenue. For example, they may be hoping that Po Valley Energy finds fossil fuels with an exploration program, before it runs out of money.
We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some such companies do very well over the long term, others become hyped up by promoters before eventually falling back down to earth, and going bankrupt (or being recapitalized). Of course, if you time it right, high risk investments like this can really pay off, as Po Valley Energy investors might know.
Po Valley Energy had liabilities exceeding cash by €3,342,505 when it last reported in December 2018, according to our data. That puts it in the highest risk category, according to our analysis. So we're surprised to see the stock up 68% per year, over 3 years, but we're happy for holders. Investors must really like its potential. You can click on the image below to see (in greater detail) how Po Valley Energy's cash levels have changed over time.
It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn't even have revenue. There's no way to know its value easily. One thing you can do is check if company insiders are buying shares. It's usually a positive if they have, as it may indicate they see value in the stock. Luckily we are in a position to provide you with this free chart of insider buying (and selling).
What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Po Valley Energy's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. We note that Po Valley Energy's TSR, at 550% is higher than its share price return of 370%. When you consider it hasn't been paying a dividend, this data suggests shareholders have benefitted from a spin-off, or had the opportunity to acquire attractively priced shares in a discounted capital raising.