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Last week saw the newest quarterly earnings release from BRC Inc. (NYSE:BRCC), an important milestone in the company's journey to build a stronger business. The business exceeded expectations with revenue of US$98m coming in 3.0% ahead of forecasts. Statutory losses were US$0.01 a share, in line with what the analysts predicted. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
See our latest analysis for BRC
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from BRC's six analysts is for revenues of US$430.2m in 2025. This reflects a modest 6.2% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. BRC is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of US$0.05 per share. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$441.4m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.057 in 2025. From this we can that sentiment has definitely become more bearish after the latest results, leading to lower revenue forecasts and a real cut to earnings per share estimates.
The consensus price target fell 6.7% to US$5.88, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading valuation estimates. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values BRC at US$11.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$4.00. We would probably assign less value to the analyst forecasts in this situation, because such a wide range of estimates could imply that the future of this business is difficult to value accurately. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that BRC's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 4.9% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 25% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 2.8% annually. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that BRC is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.