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There's been a major selloff in SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (NYSE:SMHI) shares in the week since it released its quarterly report, with the stock down 29% to US$6.17. Revenues were US$69m, and SEACOR Marine Holdings was a dismal 11% short of estimates. The analyst typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analyst has changed their earnings models, following these results.
View our latest analysis for SEACOR Marine Holdings
Taking into account the latest results, SEACOR Marine Holdings' lone analyst currently expect revenues in 2025 to be US$269.9m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Per-share losses are supposed to see a sharp uptick, reaching US$2.00. Before this earnings announcement, the analyst had been modelling revenues of US$287.5m and losses of US$0.89 per share in 2025. While next year's revenue estimates dropped there was also a massive increase in loss per share expectations, suggesting the consensus has a bit of a mixed view on the stock.
The consensus price target fell 24% to US$13.00, with the analyst clearly concerned about the company following the weaker revenue and earnings outlook.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 1.4% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 14% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 5.5% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - SEACOR Marine Holdings is expected to lag the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to note is the forecast of increased losses next year, suggesting all may not be well at SEACOR Marine Holdings. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analyst seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of SEACOR Marine Holdings' future valuation.