Analysis-Inside OPEC+, Saudi 'lollipop' oil cut was a surprise too
FILE PHOTO: A 3D printed oil pump jack is seen in front of displayed Opec logo in this illustration picture · Reuters

In This Article:

By Dmitry Zhdannikov, Ahmad Ghaddar and Alex Lawler

LONDON (Reuters) - Saudi Arabia kept under wraps its plan to make a deep cut to its own oil output during a weekend of OPEC+ talks in Vienna, several OPEC+ sources told Reuters, with some member states only learning about the reduction from the final news conference.

Saudi Arabia is the top OPEC producer and the member with the most flexibility to raise or cut output, giving the kingdom unrivalled influence over the oil market - although the impact on oil prices since announcing its plans has been modest so far.

The Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman has previously used the power of surprise in managing oil markets, where prices have come under pressure due to concerns about the weakness of the global economy and its impact on demand.

Days before the OPEC+ meeting, Prince Abdulaziz said he would inflict more pain on short sellers - those who bet that oil prices will fall - and told them to watch out. He announced the output cut after the meeting, calling it a "Saudi lollipop".

Four OPEC+ sources, who were among their countries' delegations involved in policy talks, said they only heard details of the Saudi cut at the Sunday evening news conference – and that the idea of a cut didn't come up during a weekend of discussions on a broader deal to limit supply into 2024.

"No information on the additional cut was shared prior to the press conference," one of the four sources said. "It was a surprise one, once again."

Saudi Arabia said it would cut output in July by 10% or 1 million barrels per day (bpd) to 9 million bpd and may extend cuts further if needed. Meanwhile, OPEC+ agreed to extend cuts into 2024 but didn't commit to any fresh cuts in 2023.

OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, pumps around 40% of the world's crude.

As well as the Saudi cut, OPEC+ lowered its collective production target for 2024 and the nine participating countries extended the April voluntary cuts to the end of 2024.

The United Arab Emirates secured a higher output quota that it had long been seeking - an issue that has caused tension between the group and Abu Dhabi, which has been increasing its output capacity.

The Saudi Energy Ministry and OPEC's Vienna headquarters did not respond to requests for comment.

'CAN'T PUSH THE OTHERS'

In the days leading up to the June 4 meeting, two other OPEC+ sources said there was an idea for more cuts by OPEC+ states, although this did not proceed to advanced discussions in Vienna.