Analysis-BOJ bids final farewell to Kuroda's radical policy experiment
FILE PHOTO: Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda attends his last news conference as Japan's central bank chief in Tokyo · Reuters

By Leika Kihara

TOKYO (Reuters) - In rare criticism of its past policies, the Bank of Japan said former governor Haruhiko Kuroda's stimulus didn't change consumer psychology as much as planned, continuing a symbolic shift away from his decade of policy radicalism.

The review, released on Thursday, also warned that the negative effects of Kuroda's massive monetary stimulus - such as the strain the bank's huge quantitative easing exerted on the bond market - may last longer than expected and become bigger in the future.

The findings of the review will reinforce the BOJ's resolve to steadily normalise monetary policy and be rid of the remnants of that era of unconventional easing.

"What I can say is there's bigger-than-expected uncertainty on the effect the BOJ's massive monetary easing may have had on public expectations," BOJ chief Kazuo Ueda, who replaced Kuroda as governor last year, told a news conference on Thursday, when asked about his predecessor's policies.

"There are various side-effects too, some of which may not have appeared yet," he said.

Japan's 25-year experience of deflation and economic stagnation forced the BOJ to become a pioneer of unconventional policies such as zero interest rates and quantitative easing.

Other global central banks later resorted to similar radical measures during severe downturns such as the global financial crisis and COVID pandemic, but have been largely able to unwind them fairly quickly when their economies recovered.

Upon taking office in April last year, Ueda launched the review to analyse the pros and cons of various unconventional tools used during the bank's 25-year battle with deflation.

The most controversial policy came in 2013 when, under Kuroda, the BOJ launched a huge asset-buying scheme that later combined negative interest rates and bond yield control.

Under Ueda, the central bank exited the programmes in March and raised short-term interest rates to 0.25% in July.

The policy review was the BOJ's first attempt to take a critical look at the most distinctive element of Kuroda's experiment, which was to directly influence public perceptions with monetary policy.

The idea was that by combining a pledge to do whatever it takes to prop up inflation with bold monetary easing, the BOJ could shock the public out of a deflationary mindset and change public perceptions of future price moves.

It was a turnaround from the view of Kuroda's predecessors that monetary policy had little power to influence public perceptions, and only through government and private-sector efforts could Japan emerge from deflation.