Alibaba Shares Fall Despite Accelerating AI Growth. Is It Time to Buy the Dip?

In This Article:

Key Points

  • Alibaba stock sank after its earnings results disappointed investors.

  • However, the company continued to show strong progress with its turnaround plan.

  • Meanwhile, the stock remains cheap at current levels.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Alibaba Group ›

Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) stock has had a good start to 2025, but it was giving back some of its gains after its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report disappointed investors. The stock is still up about 45% on the year, as of this writing.

That said, the results clearly showed that the turnaround at the company's e-commerce business is progressing, while it continued to demonstrate strong artificial intelligence (AI) growth within its cloud-computing segment.

Let's take a closer look at Alibaba's most recent earnings to see if investors should buy the dip.

Artist rendering of AI in the brain.
Image source: Getty Images.

The turnaround continued

Alibaba's largest and most important business by far remains e-commerce, which consists of its leading Tmall and Taobao platforms. Tmall is similar to Amazon's marketplace business and is where established brands sell their merchandise. Taobao is more akin to eBay, but without the auction format, where anyone can sell their goods.

In the past few years, the company's e-commerce business has been under pressure from a weak Chinese economy and heavy competition led by PDD's popular Pinduoduo platform. However, the company has been investing in its e-commerce business to make it more competitive, and its efforts began to show up this fiscal year, first through gross merchandise value (GMV) growth and then later with revenue and earnings before interest, taxes, and amortization (EBITA) growth.

This continued in fiscal 2025's Q4 (ended March 31, 2025), with the e-commerce segment growing its revenue 9% year over year to $14 billion, including 12% growth in its important third-party business. Alibaba credited the growth to a higher take rate from an earlier new software service fee it implemented and increasing uptake of its new AI marketing tool, Quanzhantui.

Importantly, its segment EBITA climbed 8% to $5.8 billion. This shows its e-commerce business is not just growing but growing profitably. It said it continues to see strong new customer growth along with continuous increases in orders. Its 88VIP premium memberships continued to grow by double digits, topping 50 million members.

Alibaba plans to invest heavily in "instant commerce" whereby customers can get items purchased on its Taobao platform delivered within an hour. Management thinks this can become a 1 billion consumer market opportunity. It also extended a deal with social media platform Rednote (akin to Instagram) to have Taobao links directly embedded in its posts.