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Is Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) the Cheap Chinese Stock to Buy Now?

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We recently published a list of 10 Cheap Chinese Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) stands against other cheap Chinese stocks to buy now.

Chinese Market Outlook 2025

On February 12, Russell Investment released its Chinese market outlook for 2025. The investment firm noted that the outlook for China in 2025 is marked by several key factors, including the potential for new stimulus measures, advancements in artificial intelligence, and the impact of US tariffs on Chinese exports. Investors are closely watching whether the Chinese government will implement additional economic support measures, similar to those seen in 2024. This year, however, the landscape is complicated by the introduction of the DeepSeek AI model and the imposition of US tariffs on Chinese goods.

As per the report, the property sector remains a significant drag factor to China’s economy, with developers facing pressure and consumers cautious about purchasing property. Despite this, there are tentative signs of improvement in secondary home transactions, suggesting that supportive measures from 2024 may be starting to take effect. However, consumer confidence remains low, nearing the lows of the past four years. Moreover, the economy is also at risk of deflation, which could lead consumers to delay major purchases in anticipation of further price drops.

Russell Investment further noted that the National People’s Congress meeting in March will be crucial, as it will announce the economic growth target for the year and any new policy measures. If a growth target of around 4.5% is set, substantial stimulus measures may be required to achieve it. The United States has imposed a 10% tariff on Chinese imports, which China has responded to by placing tariffs on $14 billion worth of US goods. These tariffs are expected to reduce China’s GDP growth by about 0.3 percentage points.

On the bright side, China has seen significant advancements in AI, with companies like DeepSeek achieving notable gains. However, the export embargo on major chip manufacturers by the US poses a challenge to further AI development in China. The focus is likely to shift towards efficiency improvements in AI capabilities. Russell Investments views the outlook for Chinese equities as marginally positive. This assessment is based on a cycle, valuation, and sentiment framework. Despite economic uncertainties, Chinese companies have improved their return on equity, and analysts expect about 9% earnings-per-share growth in 2025. Valuations for Chinese equities appear reasonable compared to other emerging markets, with forward multiples at around 10 times and a PEG ratio at the 15th percentile historically.