Strong Tenant Mix and Resilient Operations

ARE boasts a diverse tenant base, including both major pharmaceutical firms and up-and-coming biotech companies. With 93% occupancy, long-term leases, high renewal rates, and predominantly triple-net leases with inflation protection, Alexandria enjoys stable, predictable cash flows.

Impressive Performance and Growing Dividends

Since its 1997 IPO, ARE's total return (until recently) had outperformed the S&P 500. Investors currently enjoy a 7.47% dividend yield, with consistent annual increases5 year dividend growth rate is 5.4%.

Market Leadership and Potential Upside

After Blackstone's $8B acquisition of Biomed Realty in 2016, Alexandria stands as the dominant player in the sector. With a market cap of $21.9B and significant development in the pipeline, it remains a potential acquisition target for larger institutional investors seeking reliable growth and income.

Veteran Leadership and Institutional Support

Founder Joel Marcus, who started the company in 1994, remains executive chairman, ensuring continuity and mentorship for the current CEO. Heavy (86.1%) institutional ownership provides stability, reducing volatility from short-term retail traders. Among Guru Investors Jefferies and Renaissance are buying and Chris Davis (Trades, Portfolio) (Trades, Portfolio) is adding. Ron Baron (Trades, Portfolio) owns significant stock though he is reducing.

Tailwinds from Demographics and Innovation

The aging population in the Western world ensures ongoing demand for new medicines, and the pace of FDA approvals is accelerating. Biotech research isn't going anywhere, and Alexandria's assets are critical to the industry's progress.

High Occupancy and Quality Tenants

Alexandria's properties are highly specialized, with advanced lab infrastructure that meets stringent regulatory standards. Tenants often invest heavily in customizing their spaces, making them less likely to leave at lease endresulting in high retention. According to its most recent SEC filing for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, ARE reported an occupancy rate of 93.5% for its operating properties as of year-end 2024. The company continues to expand, including building research clusters leveraging its industry expertise to tap into global drug development.

With a tenant roster that includes industry giants like Novartis, GSK, MIT, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, and the U.S. Government, Alexandria is well-insulated from the financial troubles of any single firm. A mix of large and small tenants allows for organic growth within the portfolio.

Asset Liquidity and Value

Alexandria's real estate is highly liquid, as evidenced by recent sales at premium prices per square foot. The company's land and construction quality ensure that, if needed, assets can be sold at attractive valuations.

Debt Maturities

Alexandria Real Estate Equities maintains a conservative and well-staggered debt maturity profile, with only 13% of its total debt maturing through 2027. As of March 31, 2025, Alexandria's weighted-average remaining debt term is 12.2 yearsthe longest among S&P 500 REITsdemonstrating its focus on long-term financial stability. Approximately 30% of ARE's total debt matures in 2049 or later, reflecting a strategic emphasis on long-term financing.

The company's balance sheet remains strong, with approximately $5.3 billion in liquidity and a high proportion of fixed-rate debt, helping to manage interest rate risk. Alexandria's net debt and preferred stock to adjusted EBITDA ratio stood at 5.9x for the first quarter of 2025, with a target to reduce it to 5.2x or lower by year-end. This prudent approach to debt management positions Alexandria as one of the most stable and resilient REITs in the sector.

Capital Recycling

Alexandria is recycling capital by strategically selling non-core and stabilized assets, as well as partial interests in properties that do not fit its focus on large, high-demand mega campuses. The company uses proceeds from these sales to reinvest in its robust development and redevelopment pipeline, which centers on large-scale, highly leased research and development centers for leading life science companies. In 2024, for example, ARE sold five non-core properties in Greater Boston for $365 million and a fully leased property in San Diego for $86 million, both at attractive cap rates and strong value-creation margins. For the year, Alexandria targeted about $1.55 billion in capital from such dispositions and partial interest sales, with over $900 million already completed or under contract by mid-year. This disciplined approach to capital recycling allows ARE to fund new projects, reduce its reliance on issuing new equity, and take advantage of strong demand for high-quality life science real estate, supporting the company's long-term growth and value creation goals.

FFO and Dividends per Share continues to grow

FFO per share continues to climb but stock is down big time over the last 5 years. This discrepancy cannot continue for long and I expect the stock price to reverse in the next one to three years. FFO per share grew by 7.34% CAGR over the previous 5 years. Dividends per share grew by 5.08% CAGR over the same period.

Funds from Operations (FFO) is a crucial financial metric for real estate investment trusts (REITs) that reflects the cash generated from their core operations. It is calculated by adding back non-cash expenses like depreciation and amortization to net income, while excluding gains from property sales and other one-time items. Unlike standard net income, FFO offers a more accurate view of a REIT's recurring profitability and its ability to pay dividends, since real estate assets typically appreciate over time even though accounting rules require depreciation. As a result, investors and analysts rely on FFO, often measured on a per-share basis, to assess the operating performance and financial health of REITs.

ARE Data by GuruFocus

Price to FFO and Price to Operating Cash Flow is near 20 year lows.

ARE Data by GuruFocus

Gurufocus Discounted Cash Flow (FCF based) calculator shows a robust margin of safety for Alexandria even with a 11% discount rate. Additionally the company's tangible book value per share is $102.86 again supporting the undervaluation thesis.

Top Shelf Dividend and Valuation

The table below shows Alexandria's key valuation metrics as compared to selected large cap public US REIT's. Alexandria's valuation statistics compare favorably to its peers

Dividend payout is reasonable (below 60% of FFO) and shows large margin of safety. I do not expect a dividend cut.

ARE Data by GuruFocus

Correlation with long term bonds

Part of Alexandria's stock price weakness can be explained by the increase of long term interest rates following the pandemic. This weakness has been aggravated by the current administrations sudden changes to trade tariffs causing bond prices to collapse. (Treasury bond prices go down as interest rates rise). I expect this sentiment to normalize in the short to medium term which should benefit Alexandria.

Conclusion

Alexandria Real Estate Equities is a specialized, well-managed REIT with a proven business model, robust tenant demand, and strong growth prospects. Its focus on biotech and pharma research labswhere remote work isn't an optionand which sets it apart from traditional office REITs. With a rising dividend, high occupancy, sticky tenants and valuable real estate in prime locations, Alexandria is well positioned for a rebound. The company is also buying back stock (Buyback Yield 1.7%) which is unusual among REITs demonstration undervaluation.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.