Will AI be a game changer in developing countries?

To read this text and its propositions, the reader must accept two inferences as true:

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The first is that using AI involves the application of statistical methods to identify patterns, propose hypotheses (predictive, generative AI), simulate, and ultimately stimulate scenarios. In other words, it aims to solve significant problems through rigid or incremental innovation.

The second is that most collective issues share the common need for the state’s role in regulating, mediating, or directly participating in their resolution. If the reader considers either of these inferences unlikely, continuing from here would be a waste of time.

The problem with developing countries

Developing countries have a more fragmented environment due to democracies that are still improving, which increases the incidence of principal-agent conflicts in community relations. Decision makers act with little or no accountability and without coordination.

In these countries, the public sector stands as the largest employer and provides benefits that the private sector does not offer. Being a government employee is considered a privilege. This situation demonstrates that public service in these nations lacks the sense of purpose that could mitigate conflicts of interest.

As a result, these countries experience higher levels of corruption, and in response, tend to impose barriers on public sector contracting and transactions with private enterprises.

If building data pipelines mainly involves the collaboration of various data professionals—from data capture to processing, and the application of statistical or predictive techniques that generate new hypotheses and, consequently, solutions—states would need to make good hires across different skill sets (either individuals or companies) over overlapping periods within any project’s timeline. This, however, is naturally impossible given their bureaucratic structures.

Data is locked in organizations

The challenges start to feel overwhelming even at the basic stages of AI adoption: data acquisition. Structured or unstructured, transactional or not, this data is locked within companies, various levels of government (such as regulatory agencies), or industry associations.