AI agents could birth the first one-person unicorn — but at what societal cost?

Thanks to the advent of cloud computing and distributed digital infrastructure, the one-person micro-enterprise is far from a novel concept. Cheap on-demand compute, remote collaboration, payment processing APIs, social media, and e-commerce marketplaces have all made it easier to "go it alone" as an entrepreneur.

But what about scaling that one-person business into something meatier — an enterprise of unicorn proportions?

Historically, this would have been an unfathomably tough task, due to the skills and resources required, not only to scale a product but also to grow and maintain a sufficiently bountiful customer base. But AI agents could unshackle the would-be solo-preneurs of the world.

AI agents are all about embedding human workflows into software, freeing the human to do more in less time. Agents can be assigned tasks, and they can make decisions with varying degrees of autonomy. Multiple AI agents could even collaborate on complementary tasks, paving the way for getting some real work done entirely autonomously.

In an interview last year with Reddit co-founder Alexis Ohanian, OpenAI's Sam Altman predicted this exact scenario.

“In my little group chat with my tech CEO friends, there’s this betting pool for the first year that there is a one-person billion-dollar company,” Altman said. “Which would have been unimaginable without AI — and now [it] will happen."

In a discussion at the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos last week, a panel of entrepreneurs and investors also discussed the prospect of the single-person billion-dollar enterprise — and, more importantly, what this might mean for the future of employment.

In humans we trust

Recent history reveals a slew of svelte billion-dollar companies. Microsoft doled out $2.5 billion for Minecraft maker Mojang, which had a reported 40 employees. Facebook acquired WhatsApp for $19 billion when the messaging app maker had just 55 employees. Two years before that, Facebook bought Instagram for $1 billion with just 13 employees in its ranks.

This proves that internet technology has already generated huge companies with minimal headcount. But this isn't the same as a one-person unicorn.

Kanjun Qiu, CEO of AI research lab Imbue, which is building agents capable of reasoning and coding, reckons that the kind of one-person businesses that AI will most likely help hit the big time are those where the product is largely self-serve.

"I think the places where it'll be easiest, and first, are 'bottoms up' — either consumer or prosumer — products that don't require large go-to-market teams," Qiu explained during the panel discussion. "I think go to market is actually one of the places where it's going to be difficult to automate all of these relationships with other people."