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Agree Realty Corp (ADC) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Growth Amid Market Volatility

In This Article:

  • Liquidity: Over $2 billion, including $920 million of outstanding forward equity.

  • Leverage: 3.3 times pro forma net debt to recurring EBITDA.

  • Investment Activity: $371 million invested in 127 retail net lease properties in Q4 2024.

  • Acquisitions: 98 assets acquired for over $341 million in Q4 2024.

  • Weighted Average Cap Rate: 7.3% for Q4 2024 acquisitions.

  • Weighted Average Lease Term: 12.3 years for Q4 2024 acquisitions.

  • Investment Grade Exposure: 73% of annualized base rents from acquisitions in Q4 2024.

  • Core FFO per Share: $1.02 for Q4 2024; $4.08 for full year 2024.

  • AFFO per Share: $1.04 for Q4 2024; $4.14 for full year 2024.

  • 2025 AFFO Guidance: $4.26 to $4.30 per share, representing approximately 3.5% growth.

  • Dividend: $0.253 per common share monthly, equating to an annualized dividend of $3.04 per share.

  • Portfolio Size: 2,370 properties across all 50 states.

  • Occupancy Rate: 99.6% at year-end 2024.

Release Date: February 12, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Agree Realty Corp (NYSE:ADC) maintained strategic discipline and delivered meaningful AFFO per share growth despite market volatility.

  • The company proactively strengthened its balance sheet with $1.1 billion of forward equity, resulting in over $2 billion of liquidity.

  • ADC's investment strategy focuses on high-quality retailers, with 73% of annualized base rents from investment-grade retailers.

  • The company achieved a record year in development and DSP platforms, with 41 projects completed or under construction.

  • ADC's portfolio remains strong with a 99.6% occupancy rate and significant investment-grade exposure.

Negative Points

  • The volatile interest rate environment poses challenges for capital allocation and investment strategies.

  • Seller pricing expectations remain high, complicating acquisition opportunities in a fragmented market.

  • The company faces potential credit loss risks, with 50 basis points of credit loss assumed in 2025 guidance.

  • ADC's forward equity position could lead to treasury stock method dilution if stock prices remain high.

  • The retail sector faces ongoing challenges from tariffs and macroeconomic factors, impacting consumer spending.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you provide insight into the typical renewal process for ground leases and whether there is significant mark-to-market upside? A: Joey Agree, CEO: There is significant mark-to-market upside. The case study mentioned involved a tenant with no remaining options, initially offering to extend at a flat rate. We had offers significantly higher and required the tenant to sign a new 15-year ground lease at market rates. This is indicative of the potential upside when we regain control of the building.