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AGNC Investment Corp.: Why I Would Prefer Half the Dividend and 100% More Certainty

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I am a dividend investor, which dramatically influences the way I look at stocks. Dividend yield, however, is only one of the important factors I consider.

Another really important issue for me is dividend consistency. Here's a look at two real estate investment trusts (REITs), one with an alluring double-digit yield, to explain why yield shouldn't be the only thing a dividend investor considers.

What is a REIT?

Real estate investment trusts were specifically created to pass income on to shareholders via large dividend payments. The key is that REITs can avoid corporate-level taxation if they distribute at least 90% of their taxable income to shareholders. In reality, most REITs pay out more than that, but the key is that the REIT structure is all about dividends.

A person with the word risk and a bag of money balanced in front of them on a simple balance with an umbrella over the whole.
Image source: Getty Images.

REITs own institutional-level real estate related assets. The bigger purpose of the structure is to allow small investors access to income producing assets -- like apartment buildings, malls, and office buildings -- that they wouldn't otherwise be able to own individually because of the cost. In general, REITs are a pretty good option for income investors.

However, not all REITs (just like not all corporations) are created equal. They can get themselves into hot water in many ways, including overexpansion, taking on too much debt, or simply making bad investment choices.

There are also different kinds of REITs. The most common are property owners, like Realty Income (NYSE: O). But there are also mortgage REITs, like AGNC Investment (NASDAQ: AGNC), which owns mortgages that have been pooled into bond-like securities.

AGNC Investment has a massive 13%-plus dividend yield. Realty Income's yield is a far lower, but still attractive at 5.5%. I happily own lower-yielding Realty Income. Here's why.

What does a dividend investor really want?

There are different ways to look at dividend investing, but most who do it are likely trying to find companies with reliable and growing dividends. The most common hope is probably to either live off the income generated today or to live off it in the future while reinvesting the dividends today.

Either way, there are two competing dividend demands. You want the highest yield possible, but you also want the dividend to be, at the very least, sustainable, if not capable of growing. The chart below shows the historical yield trends for AGNC Investment and Realty Income.

AGNC Dividend Yield Chart
AGNC Dividend Yield data by YCharts.

From a pure dividend-yield perspective, AGNC has always been a more attractive investment. But now consider the chart below, which compares the dividend histories of the two REITs.