Should You Be Adding Lai Sun Development (HKG:488) To Your Watchlist Today?

In this article:

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it completely lacks a track record of revenue and profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.'

In the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, my choice may seem old fashioned; I still prefer profitable companies like Lai Sun Development (HKG:488). Now, I'm not saying that the stock is necessarily undervalued today; but I can't shake an appreciation for the profitability of the business itself. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

View our latest analysis for Lai Sun Development

How Quickly Is Lai Sun Development Increasing Earnings Per Share?

As one of my mentors once told me, share price follows earnings per share (EPS). It's no surprise, then, that I like to invest in companies with EPS growth. Who among us would not applaud Lai Sun Development's stratospheric annual EPS growth of 52%, compound, over the last three years? While that sort of growth rate isn't sustainable for long, it certainly catches my attention; like a crow with a sparkly stone.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. On the one hand, Lai Sun Development's EBIT margins fell over the last year, but on the other hand, revenue grew. So if EBIT margins can stabilize, this top-line growth should pay off for shareholders.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings, and revenue, over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

SEHK:488 Income Statement, February 4th 2020
SEHK:488 Income Statement, February 4th 2020

While profitability drives the upside, prudent investors always check the balance sheet, too.

Are Lai Sun Development Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like that fresh smell in the air when the rains are coming, insider buying fills me with optimistic anticipation. This view is based on the possibility that stock purchases signal bullishness on behalf of the buyer. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

One gleaming positive for Lai Sun Development, in the last year, is that a certain insider has buying shares with ample enthusiasm. Specifically, in one large transaction Cheuk Yi Yu paid HK$13m, for stock at HK$11.60 per share. It doesn't get much better than that, in terms of large investments from insiders.

On top of the insider buying, it's good to see that Lai Sun Development insiders have a valuable investment in the business. Indeed, they have a glittering mountain of wealth invested in it, currently valued at HK$1.1b. That equates to 20% of the company, making insiders powerful and aligned with other shareholders. Very encouraging.

Does Lai Sun Development Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Lai Sun Development's earnings per share have taken off like a rocket aimed right at the moon. The cherry on top is that insiders own a bunch of shares, and one has been buying more. Because of the potential that it has reached an inflection point, I'd suggest Lai Sun Development belongs on the top of your watchlist. Of course, profit growth is one thing but it's even better if Lai Sun Development is receiving high returns on equity, since that should imply it can keep growing without much need for capital. Click on this link to see how it is faring against the average in its industry.

As a growth investor I do like to see insider buying. But Lai Sun Development isn't the only one. You can see a a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

Advertisement