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5 High Earnings Yield Value Picks to Counter Market Uncertainty

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The S&P 500 index declined more than 5% in the first three months of 2025 amid growing concerns over tariffs, economic uncertainty and the rise of low-cost AI offerings in China. The market is now facing heightened volatility. Yesterday, Goldman Sachs lowered its year-end S&P 500 target due to higher recession risks and expectations of weakening corporate profits. In such an uncertain environment, value investing could prove to be a prudent strategy.

Focusing on undervalued stocks with strong fundamentals provides a buffer against market downturns, offering potential upside when sentiment shifts. Value stocks often perform well when growth stocks face headwinds, making them an attractive choice for risk-averse investors in these turbulent times.

ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ANIP, Insteel Industries IIIN, Pitney Bowes PBI, IHS Holding Limited IHS and HighPeak Energy Inc. HPK are a few value stocks boasting high earnings yield that can generate handsome returns.

Play Value Investing Using Earnings Yield Metric

Earnings Yield, expressed in percentage, is calculated as annual earnings per share (EPS) divided by market price. This metric measures the anticipated yield (or return) from earnings for each dollar invested in a stock today. While comparing stocks, if other factors are similar, the ones with higher earnings yield are considered undervalued, while those with lower earnings yield are seen as overpriced.

While earnings yield is nothing but the reciprocal of the P/E ratio, it is albeit a little more illuminating than the traditional P/E ratio as it also facilitates the comparison of stocks with fixed-income securities. Investors often compare the earnings yield of a stock to the prevailing interest rates, such as the current 10-year Treasury yield, to get a sense of the return on investment it offers compared to virtually risk-free returns.

If the yield on a stock is lower than the 10-year Treasury yield, it would be considered overvalued relative to bonds. Conversely, if the yield on the stock is higher, it would be considered undervalued. In this situation, investing in the stock market would be a better option for a value investor.

The Winning Strategy

We have set an Earnings Yield greater than 10% as our primary screening criterion but it alone cannot be used for picking stocks that have the potential to generate solid returns. So, we have added the following parameters to the screen:

Estimated EPS growth for the next 12 months greater than or equal to the S&P 500: This metric compares the 12-month forward EPS estimate with the 12-month actual EPS.

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