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Will These 5 Biotech Stocks Surpass Q4 Earnings Forecast?

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The fourth-quarter 2024 earnings season for the Medical sector is in full swing this week. The sector mainly comprises pharma/biotech and medical device companies. All bigwigs have already reported results. The earnings season for the drug and biotech sector kicked off around late January when bellwether Johnson & Johnson reported strong fourth-quarter results, beating estimates for earnings and sales. Most companies have surpassed estimates this time around. Among the large caps,  Eli Lilly also beat estimates for earnings and sales in the fourth quarter. LLY’s arch-rival, Novo Nordisk, posted an earnings and sales beat this time around as well, mainly driven by higher GLP-1 sales.

Find the latest EPS estimates and surprises on Zacks Earnings Calendar.

Per the Earnings Trends report, as of Feb. 12, 72.1% of the companies in the Medical sector — representing 91.4% of the sector’s market capitalization — reported quarterly earnings. Of these, 81.8% surpassed earnings estimates, while 79.5% beat the same for revenues. Earnings increased 16.9% year over year, while revenues rose 10.1%. Overall, fourth-quarter earnings of the Medical sector are expected to increase 13.4%, while sales are expected to rise 9.6% from the year-ago quarter.

Axsome Therapeutics AXSM, Halozyme Therapeutics HALO, Amicus Therapeutics FOLD, BioMarin Pharmaceutical BMRN and Insmed INSM are all slated to release theirquarterly results later this week.

Let’s see how these biotech/pharma companies are likely to have performed in the soon-to-be-reported quarter.

Axsome Therapeutics

Axsome has an impeccable earnings track recordover the trailing four quarters. The company’s earnings beat estimates in each of the last four quarters, delivering an average earnings surprise of 14.09%. In the last reported quarter, Axsome beat the earnings estimate by 2.9%.

Per our proven model, companies with the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) have a good chance of delivering an earnings beat. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

For the quarter to be reported, Axsome has an Earnings ESP of -7.22% and a Zacks Rank #3. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AXSM’s loss per share is pegged at $1.

Axsome’s revenues in the fourth quarter are likely to have benefited from the strong sales of its two marketed products, Auvelity (AXS-05) for major depressive disorder and Sunosi (solriamfetol) for narcolepsy. In January 2025, the FDA approved Symbravo (meloxicam and rizatriptan) for the acute treatment of migraine with or without aura in adults. Investors can expect an update from the company regarding the commercialization plans for Symbravo.