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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital. When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Hainan Meilan International Airport Company Limited (HKG:357) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Hainan Meilan International Airport
What Is Hainan Meilan International Airport's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Hainan Meilan International Airport had CN¥838.7m of debt at December 2019, down from CN¥2.23b a year prior. But it also has CN¥1.51b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥673.1m net cash.
How Healthy Is Hainan Meilan International Airport's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Hainan Meilan International Airport had liabilities of CN¥5.15b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.16b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.51b in cash and CN¥504.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥4.29b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥2.84b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Hainan Meilan International Airport would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. Given that Hainan Meilan International Airport has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total.
On the other hand, Hainan Meilan International Airport's EBIT dived 16%, over the last year. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hainan Meilan International Airport will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.