In This Article:
Wall Street’s bearish price targets for the stocks in this article signal serious concerns. Such forecasts are uncommon in an industry where maintaining cordial corporate relationships often trumps delivering the hard truth.
At StockStory, we look beyond the headlines with our independent analysis to determine whether these bearish calls are justified. That said, here are three stocks where the outlook is warranted and some alternatives with better fundamentals.
AMC Networks (AMCX)
Consensus Price Target: $6.50 (5.7% implied return)
Originally the joint-venture of four cable television companies, AMC Networks (NASDAQ:AMCX) is a broadcaster producing a diverse range of television shows and movies.
Why Are We Out on AMCX?
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Products and services aren't resonating with the market as its revenue declined by 4.6% annually over the last five years
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Earnings per share decreased by more than its revenue over the last five years, showing each sale was less profitable
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Waning returns on capital from an already weak starting point displays the inefficacy of management’s past and current investment decisions
At $6.15 per share, AMC Networks trades at 2.1x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than AMCX.
Incyte (INCY)
Consensus Price Target: $75.15 (5.1% implied return)
Founded in 1991 and evolving from a genomics research firm to a commercial-stage drug developer, Incyte (NASDAQ:INCY) is a biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, and commercializes proprietary therapeutics for cancer and inflammatory diseases.
Why Does INCY Fall Short?
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Efficiency has decreased over the last five years as its adjusted operating margin fell by 15.2 percentage points
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Free cash flow margin shrank by 13.5 percentage points over the last five years, suggesting the company is consuming more capital to stay competitive
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Diminishing returns on capital suggest its earlier profit pools are drying up
Incyte is trading at $71.52 per share, or 12x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why INCY doesn’t pass our bar.
Charles River Laboratories (CRL)
Consensus Price Target: $156.14 (3.4% implied return)
Named after the Massachusetts river where it was founded in 1947, Charles River Laboratories (NYSE:CRL) provides non-clinical drug development services, research models, and manufacturing support to pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies.
Why Are We Wary of CRL?
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Organic sales performance over the past two years indicates the company may need to make strategic adjustments or rely on M&A to catalyze faster growth
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Projected sales decline of 2.6% for the next 12 months points to an even tougher demand environment ahead
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Diminishing returns on capital from an already low starting point show that neither management’s prior nor current bets are going as planned