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3 Reasons Investors Watch HubSpot (HUBS)
HUBS Cover Image
3 Reasons Investors Watch HubSpot (HUBS)

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HubSpot currently trades at $602.90 and has been a dream stock for shareholders. It’s returned 297% since April 2020, more than tripling the S&P 500’s 91.2% gain. The company has also beaten the index over the past six months as its stock price is up 6.6%.

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Why Do Investors Watch HubSpot?

Started in 2006 by two MIT grad students, HubSpot (NYSE:HUBS) is a software-as-a-service platform that helps small and medium-sized businesses market themselves, sell, and get found on the internet.

Three Positive Attributes:

1. ARR Surges as Recurring Revenue Flows In

While reported revenue for a software company can include low-margin items like implementation fees, annual recurring revenue (ARR) is a sum of the next 12 months of contracted revenue purely from software subscriptions, or the high-margin, predictable revenue streams that make SaaS businesses so valuable.

HubSpot’s ARR punched in at $2.75 billion in Q4, and over the last four quarters, its year-on-year growth averaged 21.1%. This performance was impressive and shows that customers are willing to take multi-year bets on the company’s technology. Its growth also makes HubSpot a more predictable business, a tailwind for its valuation as investors typically prefer businesses with recurring revenue.

HubSpot Annual Recurring Revenue
HubSpot Annual Recurring Revenue

2. Elite Gross Margin Powers Best-In-Class Business Model

What makes the software-as-a-service model so attractive is that once the software is developed, it usually doesn’t cost much to provide it as an ongoing service. These minimal costs can include servers, licenses, and certain personnel.

HubSpot’s gross margin is one of the highest in the software sector, an output of its asset-lite business model and strong pricing power. It also enables the company to fund large investments in new products and sales during periods of rapid growth to achieve outsized profits at scale. As you can see below, it averaged an elite 85% gross margin over the last year. That means HubSpot only paid its providers $14.97 for every $100 in revenue.

HubSpot Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin
HubSpot Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

3. Operating Margin Rising, Profits Up

While many software businesses point investors to their adjusted profits, which exclude stock-based compensation (SBC), we prefer GAAP operating margin because SBC is a legitimate expense used to attract and retain talent. This metric shows how much revenue remains after accounting for all core expenses – everything from the cost of goods sold to sales and R&D.

Over the last year, HubSpot’s expanding sales gave it operating leverage as its margin rose by 6.7 percentage points. Although its operating margin for the trailing 12 months was negative 2.6%, we’re confident it can one day reach sustainable profitability.