I applaud Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke for pulling out all the stops in an effort to supercharge the economy.
The unlimited quantitative-easing (QE) measures, capital infusions and ultra-low interest rates have ignited a strong rally in the stock market. This rising economic tide has helped lift all ships from the smallest, newly-funded IRA accounts to behemoth corporate interests. Everyone is getting wealthier, but the question is, what are the looming side-effects of such an unfettered policy?
While the Fed's efforts are still being absorbed and utilized by the economy in a positive way, the excess liquidity may eventually lead to an extremely inflationary economic situation.
Presently, the dire situation in Europe is counteracting the money liquidity in the United States. This means the U.S. dollar is still viewed as a bastion of safety on the global scale, despite the Fed's intervention. But this situation can't last forever, and when this perception ends, the U.S. economy may enter a period of unprecedented inflation.
How can investors protect themselves?
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Historically, precious metals have been the go-to instrument to hedge against and profit during inflationary times. Gold and silver are the primary precious metals to which investors flock to protect their portfolios during difficult economic cycles.
Gold is clearly more popular along with energy stocks, but this popularity has resulted in surging prices on the anticipation of inflation rather than inflation itself. Remember, markets are anticipatory mechanisms, so price often anticipates what's going to happen and moves before the fact. While silver has also moved sharply higher in anticipation, it has become disconnected from gold's rocket ride toward $2,000 an ounce.
Clearly, silver makes a better investment than gold right now.
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Here are three reasons why...
| The gold/silver correlation has become skewed
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| Silver demand hits historic highs The exchange-traded fund (ETF) iShares Silver Trust (NYSE: SLV) received a record of $603 million on a single day in January 2013. This ramps up the assets of this silver ETF to $11 billion. Investments in all silver-based ETFs are now at an all-time record of more than 19,000 tons globally. Clearly, investors are moving into silver. |
| Technically, silver prices have consolidated Silver has been trading in a tight 10-point range since November 2011. The stock remains above the 200-day simple moving average, visibly indicating the uptrend is still intact. The consolidated channel provides the investor a clear technical entry point. |
Risks to Consider: Inflation may be a long-way off. Despite all the signs, the Fed may be able to fight market forces, keeping inflation in check for a much longer time than anticipated. Always use stops and position size properly when investing.