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Otis has been treading water for the past six months, recording a small return of 4.2% while holding steady at $97.90.
Is now the time to buy Otis, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Dive into our full research report to see our analyst team’s opinion, it’s free.
We don't have much confidence in Otis. Here are three reasons why we avoid OTIS and a stock we'd rather own.
Why Is Otis Not Exciting?
Credited with inventing the first hydraulic passenger elevator, Otis Worldwide (NYSE:OTIS) is an elevator and escalator manufacturing, installation and service company.
1. Slow Organic Growth Suggests Waning Demand In Core Business
In addition to reported revenue, organic revenue is a useful data point for analyzing General Industrial Machinery companies. This metric gives visibility into Otis’s core business because it excludes one-time events such as mergers, acquisitions, and divestitures along with foreign currency fluctuations - non-fundamental factors that can manipulate the income statement.
Over the last two years, Otis’s organic revenue averaged 3.5% year-on-year growth. This performance was underwhelming and suggests it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy, which can add an extra layer of complexity to its operations.
2. Projected Revenue Growth Shows Limited Upside
Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.
Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect Otis’s revenue to stall, a slight deceleration versus its 2.5% annualized growth for the past two years. This projection doesn't excite us and suggests its products and services will face some demand challenges.
3. Low Gross Margin Hinders Flexibility
For industrials businesses, cost of sales is usually comprised of the direct labor, raw materials, and supplies needed to offer a product or service. These costs can be impacted by inflation and supply chain dynamics in the short term and a company’s purchasing power and scale over the long term.
Otis’s gross margin is slightly below the average industrials company, giving it less room to invest in areas such as research and development. As you can see below, it averaged a 29.1% gross margin over the last five years. Said differently, Otis had to pay a chunky $70.88 to its suppliers for every $100 in revenue.
Final Judgment
Otis’s business quality ultimately falls short of our standards. That said, the stock currently trades at 24.6× forward price-to-earnings (or $97.90 per share). At this valuation, there’s a lot of good news priced in - you can find better investment opportunities elsewhere. We’d recommend looking at a fast-growing restaurant franchise with an A+ ranch dressing sauce.