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While profitability is essential, it doesn’t guarantee long-term success. Some companies that rest on their margins will lose ground as competition intensifies - as Jeff Bezos said, "Your margin is my opportunity".
A business making money today isn’t necessarily a winner, which is why we analyze companies across multiple dimensions at StockStory. Keeping that in mind, here are three profitable companies to steer clear of and a few better alternatives.
Constellation Brands (STZ)
Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 3.5%
With a presence in more than 100 countries, Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) is a globally renowned producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits.
Why Does STZ Worry Us?
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Organic revenue growth fell short of our benchmarks over the past two years and implies it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy
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Estimated sales decline of 6.6% for the next 12 months implies a challenging demand environment
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Expenses have increased as a percentage of revenue over the last year as its operating margin fell by 28.3 percentage points
Constellation Brands’s stock price of $187.26 implies a valuation ratio of 13.9x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with STZ, check out our full research report (it’s free).
Matthews (MATW)
Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 4.3%
Originally a death care company, Matthews International (NASDAQ:MATW) is a diversified company offering ceremonial services, brand solutions and industrial technologies.
Why Are We Out on MATW?
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Products and services aren't resonating with the market as its revenue declined by 2.9% annually over the last two years
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Performance over the past five years shows its incremental sales were much less profitable, as its earnings per share fell by 12% annually
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Lacking free cash flow generation means it has few chances to reinvest for growth, repurchase shares, or distribute capital
At $20.41 per share, Matthews trades at 5.5x forward EV-to-EBITDA. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than MATW.
GEO Group (GEO)
Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 12%
With a global footprint spanning three continents and approximately 81,000 beds across 100 facilities, GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) operates secure facilities, processing centers, and reentry services for government agencies in the United States, Australia, and South Africa.
Why Do We Pass on GEO?
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Flat sales over the last five years suggest it must find different ways to grow during this cycle
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Sales over the last five years were less profitable as its earnings per share fell by 31.5% annually while its revenue was flat
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Free cash flow margin dropped by 8.9 percentage points over the last five years, implying the company became more capital intensive as competition picked up