3 sports with questionable futures at the Olympics after 2020

In Rio over the weekend, South Korean golfer Inbee Park dominated the first women’s Olympic golf competition since 1900. For her efforts, Park got a gold medal for her country, but no prize money whatsoever. On the men’s side, Great Britain’s Justin Rose bested Sweden’s Henrik Stenson by just two strokes to take the gold. It was an exciting finish—the two golfers entered the 72nd hole all tied up—but the competition was missing four of the top five golfers in the world, and many have questioned whether golf belongs at the Olympics.

Golf isn’t the only returning sport with a questionable future at the Olympics beyond 2020. The International Olympic Committee (IOC) voted in 2009 to bring back golf and seven-player rugby for the 2016 and 2020 Summer Games, reaching its own maximum number of 28 sports, a maximum that the IOC has dropped for Olympics after 2016.

This month, the IOC voted to bring back baseball and softball (which the IOC considers one sport) for 2020, as well as add karate, skateboarding, climbing, and surfing, all new Olympic sports. Adding five sports represented “the most comprehensive evolution of the Olympic program in modern history,” the IOC said.

How does the IOC decide which sports to add or remove from the Olympics? Every sport that wants in must have an international federation that oversees it and must adhere to WADA (the World Anti-Doping Agency). Then a sport can submit a bid, which can be costly and take years. Quartz called it “a Herculean task.”

Even though golf, rugby, baseball and softball have all been at the Olympics in the past, there’s no guarantee they will stick around past 2020.

Olympic golf, back for 2016 and 2020

The vote to bring back Olympic golf, after an absence of 112 years (on the men’s side, 116 years on the women’s), was by no means unanimous: 63 to 27, and two abstentions. And the return, already controversial because many doubt that golf should be an Olympic sport, got more mired in controversy when a rush of top golfers all opted out of the Olympics in a hurry, including the top four in the world: Jason Day (Australia), Dustin Johnson (USA), Jordan Spieth (USA) and Rory McIlroy (Ireland).

Many of the golfers who dropped out of Rio cited the Zika virus as their reason, but not all of them, and the consensus in the golf world was that many golfers simply weren’t interested. Rory McIlroy added credence to this by saying at a press conference that he wouldn’t even watch the event on television.

Indeed, many have questioned whether golf, tennis, and basketball belong in the Olympics, because they are sports in which an Olympic medal will never be more coveted to players than winning the top event in their own sport. That is: it’s unlikely any golfer or tennis player would care more about an Olympic medal than winning a Major; it’s unlikely any NBA star would care more about an Olympic medal than winning the NBA Finals. In contrast, sports like swimming, track & field, and gymnastics are a perfect fit for the Olympics because winning an Olympic medal is the pinnacle achievement in the sport.