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In 2023, energy enterprises grappled with a formidable challenge, a stark departure from the robust rally witnessed in the two preceding years. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA:XLE), a vital benchmark, mirrored the plight of the doomed oil stocks with a 2.33% share price decline in the tumultuous past year. As we look ahead to 2024, projections indicate that crude oil prices will stabilize around the $80 per barrel range. Although the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) have recently implemented supply cuts in a bid to support the market, the energy sector remains susceptible to heightened volatility, particularly if geopolitical tensions continue to escalate.
Following COP28, where global leaders pledged to shift from fossil fuels to renewable energy, over half of the participating nations, including major oil producers like the UAE, committed to “phase down” or “phase out” oil production. This landmark agreement exerted immense pressure on the fossil fuel industry, making these three oil stocks vulnerable investments to offload before facing inevitable challenges amid evolving market dynamics.
Icahn Enterprises (IEP)
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The recent trajectory of Carl Icahn’s investment venture, Icahn Enterprises (NYSE:IEP), has left investors in a predicament. Following a once robust dividend payout cut from $2 to $1 per share, the firm’s dividend yield has dramatically plunged, previously soaring above 25%. This reduction diminished its standing in the energy sector and echoed the repercussions of a troubling report by Hindenburg Research in May. The report accused the enterprise of engaging in practices akin to a Ponzi scheme, using new investor funds to support allegedly “unsustainable” dividends, casting a long shadow over its financial strategies.
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Moreover, IEP’s stock has witnessed a steep 65.35% dip year-over-year. The third-quarter financials further accentuate the turmoil, with GAAP earnings per share of negative cent and revenue declining 10.3% year-over-year to $3 billion. Additionally, with negative net income for the past five consecutive years, the firm’s prospects for a swift recovery seem increasingly bleak, fostering investor skepticism about its future.
BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (BPT)
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The BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (NYSE: BPT), anchored in Alaska’s prolific Prudhoe Bay oil field, has unfortunately cemented its position as one of the most precarious investments within its sector. The trust, managed by The Bank of New York Mellon, has announced yet another quarter without distribution. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter of no payouts, a direct consequence of oil prices failing to meet the threshold above the Trust’s escalating chargeable costs. This pattern underscores a grim trend, highlighting the trust’s struggle to navigate the volatile oil market.