The 7 Best Market Sectors for Q4

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For many investors, 2023 can’t come soon enough. The S&P 500 is down 16.93% for the year and the Nasdaq is down over 25%. It has been an equal opportunity selloff. So unless you were in one of the best market sectors, it’s likely your portfolio is in the red.

But there’s still one more quarter left in 2022. The good news is that stock markets tend to perform well in the 12 months after a midterm election. But we have to get there first. And an equally reliable indicator is that equities tend to underperform in the run-up to the midterms.

Rather than avoid the market, however, there’s still money to be made if you’re in the right sectors. Right now, that means looking at some of the same sectors that have been the best-performing in the first three quarters.

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Here are seven of the best market sectors for Q4, and stock picks for each one.

Best Market Sectors: Transportation

a digital representation of transportation with cargo in the background and a business person in the foreground analyzing something on a tablet
a digital representation of transportation with cargo in the background and a business person in the foreground analyzing something on a tablet

Source: Shutterstock

In 2021, the transportation sector was under scrutiny as global supply chains were snarled. Goods still need to move from point A to point B and that means this sector still remains one of interest as we head into the fourth quarter. Whether by land, air or sea, investors have no shortage of companies to choose from.

One company that I want to put on investors’ radars is Scorpio Tankers (NYSE:STNG). The company operates a fleet of tankers that move petroleum products across the globe. It is taking advantage of rising revenue in 2022 to cut its debt. STNG stock is up 249% for the year and is trading above its consensus estimate. However, with revenue expected to remain at nearly four times traditional levels, it may only be a matter of time for those price targets to rise.

Consumer Staples

a woman buying groceries
a woman buying groceries

Source: Shutterstock

This is also known as the “consumer defensive” sector, and if you look inside the numbers at the August CPI report, you’ll understand my thesis for including it.

It’s clear that consumers are tapering their spending on discretionary purchases, including travel. The money that’s not being spent there, however, is not going into their savings accounts. Instead it’s going to pay for groceries, fuel and other staple items.

That’s an important distinction because this sector also includes the retail sector, which continues to have a cloudy outlook for the holidays. However, food and beverage stocks such as Costco (NASDAQ:COST) and PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP) should do well and pay a dividend for good measure. And investors willing to look at the “sin stocks” would do well to consider Philip Morris (NYSE:PM). Sin stocks, such as tobacco companies, tend to outperform the market when the economy is slowing down.